TY - JOUR
T1 - The impact of climate change on tourism in Germany, the UK and Ireland: a simulation study
AU - Hamilton, Jacqueline
AU - Tol, Richard
PY - 2007
Y1 - 2007
N2 - We downscale the results of a global tourism simulation model at a national resolution to a regional resolution. We use this
to investigate the impact of climate change on the regions of Germany, Ireland and the UK. Because of climate change, tourists
from all three countries would spend more holidays in the home country. In all three countries, climate change would first
reduce the number of international arrivalsâ as Western European international tourist demand fallsâ but later increase numbersâ as
tourism demand from increasingly rich tropical countries grows. In Ireland and the UK, the regional pattern of demand shifts
is similar to the international one: tourism shifts north. In Germany, the opposite pattern is observed as the continental
interior warms faster than the coast: tourism shifts south.
AB - We downscale the results of a global tourism simulation model at a national resolution to a regional resolution. We use this
to investigate the impact of climate change on the regions of Germany, Ireland and the UK. Because of climate change, tourists
from all three countries would spend more holidays in the home country. In all three countries, climate change would first
reduce the number of international arrivalsâ as Western European international tourist demand fallsâ but later increase numbersâ as
tourism demand from increasingly rich tropical countries grows. In Ireland and the UK, the regional pattern of demand shifts
is similar to the international one: tourism shifts north. In Germany, the opposite pattern is observed as the continental
interior warms faster than the coast: tourism shifts south.
U2 - 10.1007/s10113-007-0036-2
DO - 10.1007/s10113-007-0036-2
M3 - Article
SN - 1436-3798
VL - 7
SP - 161
EP - 172
JO - Regional Environmental Change
JF - Regional Environmental Change
IS - 3
ER -